The Royals of Kansas City are in an interesting position before the deadline for trade. They lost five games in a row, including a discouraging scan in the hands of the Rays of Tampa Bay. Currently, they should spend six teams to capture the third point of Joker. However, they remain in the mixture despite their sub500 record; They only have 3.5 games back.
The director general of the Royals JJ Piccollo and his team have difficult decisions to make. Do you look at these pitch staff and think that he can do damage in the playoffs if they can simply enter and try to upgrade the programming? Do they seek their victories record, execute a differential and the number of teams with which they are in competition and decide to sell? Or do they try to trace an average path as we saw the previous MLB teams, exchanging veterans during the last year of their transactions while not completely abandoning the hope of a style of style 2024 of Strait Tigers?
Unless the Royals decide that they are pure and simple buyers, and at this point, I think they should make one of their famous victories 15 of the 20 points to make this decision, they will probably receive a lot of calls concerning the Seth Lugo launcher. Jeff Passan and Kiley McDaniel d’Espn classified Lugo as the 6th best player who could be realistic on the deadline for the MLB trade, and a quick Google search reveals many other Baseball team blogs chatting with Lugo and if he would be well suited to his list.
The starter of the Royals would be a great acquisition for most teams, in particular those that are not confident in their three best runners. Lugo follows his finalist campaign Al Cy Young with another strong season, displaying an MPM of 2.93 in 83 rounds. He has a similar withdrawal and walking figures as he did last year, but his Xera of 4.69 could frighten certain teams. He launched in front of his advanced measures last season and continues to do this this year, and his ability to launch as many different land and locate them suggests that he can maintain his ability to induce weak contact better than your standard launcher.
Lugo is also on an affordable affair. It is due to the rest of his $ 15 million which he is due for this season, and has a player option for $ 15 million for next year. At this point, it seems unlikely to take this player option; It should be able to order a better contract than a year, $ 15 million on the free market. So Lugo will most likely be a rental player if the Royals decide to go from him.
I decided to look at the previous commercial deadlines to look at other rental launchers to see what the Royals could reasonably expect in exchange for Lugo. I returned to the deadline for 2022 and I looked for launchers during the last year of their contracts that have been exchanged, and I tried to see for what type of players they were exchanged in return. I used the future Fangraphs value rating as a way to compare the quality of the players who have been returned for kidney launchers. I also included professions which had a starter and a lifter in the agreement, because the Royals would be able to obtain a lifter if they choose to try to get a better return. Below, the comparison transactions I saw.
Trades of commercial time launcher
| Year | Launcher (s) | Player 1 FV | Player 2 FV | Player 3 FV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | Launcher (s) | Player 1 FV | Player 2 FV | Player 3 FV |
| 2024 | Jack Flaherty | 50 | 45 | |
| 2024 | Yusei Kikuchi | 50 | 45 | 40 |
| 2024 | Michael Lorenzen | 35 | ||
| 2023 | Jack Flaherty | 40 | 35 | 35 |
| 2023 | Michael Lorenzen | 40 | ||
| 2023 | Jordan Montgomery and Chris Stratton | 40 | 40 | 35 |
| 2023 | Lucas Giolito and Reynaldo Lopez | 50 | 40 | |
| 2022 | Noah Syndergaard | 40 | 35 | |
| 2022 | Jose Quintana and Chris Stratton | 45 | 40 |
If you are curious to know certain future value comparisons for the prospects of Royals, Carter Jensen and Noah Cameron have a side of 50 FV, Ben Kudrna has a 45, Blake Wolters has a 40 and Frank Mazzicato has a 35. I think Lugo would be as much appreciated as Flaherty and Kikuchi were last season; You could say that he is the best launcher of all the rental launchers who have been exchanged in recent years. It would therefore be reasonable to expect the Royals to win a perspective with a note of 50 FV and one with a note of 45 FV for Lugo.
Given the state of the agricultural system of the Royals and the fact that they obtain their Cameron and Jac Caglianone diploma, a prospect of 50 FV would probably be among the 3 best prospects of the Royals, and a perspective of 45 FV would be among the first 10. It is a fairly solid return, and Piccolo trade for trade.
Passan and McDaniel lists the Cubs of Chicago, Toronto Blue Jays and San Diego Padres as potential options for Lugo. So, if you want to make deep discs and dream of perspectives, here are some players who could be included in these teams if we go with a player at 50 FV and a 45 -value player:
Cubs de Chicago – Kevin Alcantara / Cade Horton, Owen Caissie
Toronto Blue Jays – Alan Roden / Ricky Tietann, Kendry Rojas
San Diego Padres – Leo de Vries, Kash Mayfield
Although the Royals have even more time to make a decision, I am personally in a team that sells on the deadline at the moment. Six teams are too numerous to pass, and the negative race differential and a constant lack of offense does not give me confidence that it will turn around. The Rays found themselves in a similar position last year, have chosen to exchange players and are now currently in the first point of Joker and a 1⁄2 New York Yankees at the back for the division. The Royals do not need to burn it, but the unloading of veterans and guys towards the end of their offers could help them to compete next year, and to move Lugo is obvious if the Royals decide to move this direction.
