Wednesday, October 8, best choices and Paris predictions on the MLB qualifiers

It is a day full of action in the MLB qualifiers! Here are some accessories that I like today.

Season record: 20-19-2, -06 units

Phillies against dodgers

Aaron Nola over 2.5 launched stick withdrawals (-146 Draftings)

The betting markets really assume that we see very little Aaron Nola tonight. Its Outs Recorded accessory is 8.5, although tilted up at -141. Its Hits Allowed accessory is centered around 3, reduced to -148 over. I understand. The phillies drag 2-0 in the series and must obviously win it. They put it in the Ranger Suarez to play a ferrouting role if Nola has the slightest difficulty. And perhaps more importantly, Nola has not launched well this year, with an MPM of 6.01 and a whip of 1.35. Its ERA estimators draw up a more pink table since it had a XERA of 4.25 and a Siera of 3.81.

Nola missed about half of the season due to injuries, but her number of stick withdrawals remained quite constant throughout. It has a 24% k% and 11.2% Swstr% over the year, practically identical to what it did in 2024 when it took each start and had a 3.57 MPM and a Whip of 1.20. What has just disappeared is any form of coherence. During two of his last four departures in the regular season, he conceded only one deserved point in 14 combined rounds, with 16 K. In the other two, he granted 10 points deserved in 11.1 IP and withdrew 9.

I know that it is an act of faith here that we obtained ace nola, or even nola service. But it is a very weak accessory, so I’m not sure that we even need its best version. We can win if it just passes 2 rounds.

Brewers at Cubs

Jameson Taillon more than 2.5 launched stick withdrawals (-141 Draftings)

Well, I guess I have a theme today. The market once again assumes that the holder of a team from which all season is at stake will be withdrawn at the slightest sign of problem. And again, it is a safe hypothesis. I am just ready to bet that the launcher, in this case taillon, can last long enough to surpass a meager accessory K.

Taillon and Nola are not alike, apart from their age and the fate of their teams. Taillon presents itself as a solid leaving half-rotation, but it provided much more than that in Cubs, with an MPM of 3.45 and a whip of 1.10 on 51 departures and 295 rounds in the last 2 seasons.

It simply does not breathe much because it has a swstr% of 8.8% and a k% of 18.7%. This is a more bet on its overall quality, because it may have to pass the 4th round to obtain 3 stick withdrawals here. I say he does it. He launched the decisive match 3 against the Padres last Thursday and lasted 4 rounds. He faced 14 strikers and withdrew 4 on sockets, while granting only 2 strokes and no goal on balls or race. He is currently the best holder of Cubs. I will ride with its accessory K here.