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Thunder vs. Cavaliers Prediction, Odds, Breakdown, Time: NBA MLK Day 2026 Picks

A possible NBA Finals preview is scheduled for Monday afternoon as the Oklahoma City Thunder travel to take on the Cleveland Cavaliers in the MLK Day 2026 NBA schedule. OKC leads the Western Conference and the entire NBA with a 35-8 record, despite losing at Miami on Saturday. Cleveland has won three of its last four games and is now 24-19 and fifth in the Eastern Conference. Darius Garland (toe) remains for Cleveland.

Tip-off from Rocket Arena in Cleveland is scheduled for 2:30 p.m. ET. OKC is a 5.5-point road favorite in the latest Thunder vs. Cavaliers odds, while the over/under is 230.5. Before making any Cavaliers vs. Thunder picks, check out NBA predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

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The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has generated well over $10,000 in betting profits for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past eight seasons. The model enters Week 13 of the 2025-26 NBA season with a scorching 34-15 mark on top-rated NBA spread picks dating back to last season. Anyone who follows his NBA betting tips on sports betting sites and betting apps could have seen huge returns.

Now, the model has simulated Thunder vs. Cavs 10,000 times and just revealed its coveted NBA betting picks and predictions. You can now head over to SportsLine to see the model’s choices. Here are several NBA odds and NBA betting lines for Cavs vs. Thunder:

Thunder vs. Cavaliers breakdown:

Thunder -5.5

Thunder vs. Cavaliers plus/minus:

230.5 points

Thunder vs. Cavaliers money line:

Thunder -225, Riders +185

Thunder vs. Cavaliers picks:

See the picks on SportsLine

Streaming Thunder vs. Cavaliers:

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How to make Thunder vs. Cavaliers picks

After 10,000 Cavs vs. Thunder simulations, SportsLine’s model is exceeding the total (230.5 points). Both teams have seen three of their last five games go over the total, including OKC’s surprise loss to the Heat on Saturday, where the teams combined for 244 points.

SportsLine’s model projects Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Donovan Mitchell to score around 32 points as the teams combine for 239 points and the Over hits in 55% of simulations.

It also generated a pick against the spread that hits well over 60% of the time. You can head to SportsLine to see the model’s NBA picks.

So who does the Cavaliers win against Thunder, and which side of the spread hits well over 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread to fall on, all from the model that has returned well over $10,000 on top-rated NBA picks, and find out.

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