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The report on new jobs shows that Trump cannot control data in dismissing people he does not like

President Donald Trump learned of hard Friday morning that the dismissal of the head of the Bureau of Labor Statistics does not change the facts: the economy is cooling, the unemployment rate increases and the number of employment opening does not follow the pace.

The American economy added only 22,000 jobs in August, less than economists expected.

The Friday morning job report revealed that the unemployment rate had increased very slightly by 4.3%, compared to 4.2% in July. The number of unemployed increased by around 150,000 against just over 7.2 million in July to almost 7.4 million in August. And employment in Trump’s pet industries – those to which he promised to support the campaign and continued to claim his support for policies – including mining, petroleum and gas and manufacturing is declining.

The BLS also has federal employees who have taken the offer of redemption of DOGE and always collects compensation, which means that there could be tens of thousands of more unemployed people who do not yet arise on rolls. These ex-worksmen will be paid at least at the end of this month.

In August, Trump dismissed BLS commissioner Erika Mcentarfer, after the July and slowing job reports reported, and the larger revisions that normal for May and June suggested that a larger economic slowdown could be imminent, said experts at TPM at the time.

This month’s revisions have shown a new drop: between the adjustments of June and July, employment was 21,000 lower than that previously reported.

The survey on the August employment situation reflects the data published Wednesday in the investigation into job offers and the working of work, which showed that the number of unemployed has exceeded the number of appeals for the first time in four years, Axios reported.

The use of black women has taken a particularly important success, probably due to Trump’s attack on federal government workers who are disproportionately black. Black women have lost 319,000 jobs between February and July, according to an analysis of the gender economist Katica Roy. During the same period, white women won 142,000 jobs, Hispanic women of 176,000 and white men 365,000. The August job report shows that blacks are the only group whose unemployment rate has increased regularly since May.

Before the report on jobs, the friends of the work statistics office published an eight -page explanator describing how BLS statisticians compile job reports, explaining how revisions work and stressing that agency data can still be reliable – for the moment.

“The greatest immediate risk is a serious sub-effective,” explains the explanator.

“Continuous attacks in the longer term against independence and BLS budgets that compromise

Technical excellence would undermine the credibility of BLS, “wrote the friends of BLS later in the report.

When Trump dismissed Mcentarfer, statisticians, economists and other researchers strongly criticized the president’s decision and resulted in TPM warnings to maintain the independence of the agency.

But officials of the Trump administration said aloud that they did not care about the independence of the agencies. Commerce secretary, Howard Lux, described the idea of ​​”nonsense” when he spoke to a group of federal statisticians.

“As much as possible humanly with as many tools as possible, get the right answer,” said Lunick in August. “Independence is therefore a nonsense. Okay, precision is the only word that matters.”

Although the commissioner is currently the only position politically appointed to the agency, the Trump administration has decided to reclassify certain federal employees and make them easier to shoot.

At the same time, the administration argued that the rigorous process in which BLS statistics are collected, analyzed and reported meant that the data would remain free from political interference, at least in the short term. During the dismissal of MCENTFAR, the president underlined the revisions of the July job report and said that he thought that negative economic information had been designed to injure him politically, which the experts said that TPM was impossible given the nature of the way the data was collected and reported.

Shortly after his evidence, Trump appointed conservative economist Ej Antoni to lead the agency. Antoni, the chief economist of the Heritage Foundation, launched the idea of ​​taking a monthly break on the report on jobs. Progressive and conservative thinktanks economists castigated its appointment, denouncing its perceived lack of qualifications and its apparent lack of understanding of certain basic economic principles.

Experts have said that major TPM revisions generally point out that something is happening in the economy. The job report is produced using an employers’ survey. The larger and more stable employers are more likely to return their surveys in time, reflected in the initial series of figures, while smaller and difficult companies are more likely to return their late inquests. Large downward revisions have a meaning, have declared experts at TPM, if companies feel stretched and lack the deadline for the BLS survey.

However, groups and BLS friends have long tried to raise awareness of the need for an increase in agency financing and updates to survey methods.

“I think it is important to understand that the agency wanted to modernize for a long time,” said former BLS commissioner Erica Groshen, at TPM at the end of August. “But it is a particularly difficult time for the agency because its budget has been seriously limited in the last 15 years, so its ability to be modernized has been limited at the same time as the responses are decreasing.”

The friends of the BLs then published a statement urging senators to consider a qualifying list that the next BLS chief should have before Antoni’s confirmation. He should appear for an audience before the Senate Committee for Health, Education, Labor and Pensions (aid) in September.

Correction: This article initially disturbed the deadline for the moment when the number of BLs has shown blacks as the only group whose unemployment rate has increased.

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