The investigation says is a weekly column bringing together three of the most important survey trends or data points you need to know. You will also find updates based on data on Daily Kos reports, as well as an atmosphere verification on a trend that stimulates policy.
What economy is it anyway?
With the second term of President Donald Trump after the 100 -day mark, he rushes to dodge the blame for a stock market which fallen since he took office. On April 30, he declared In an article on social networks, “it’s Biden’s stock market, not Trump’s.”
He seems to be one of the few to believe this.
More Americans blame Trump (46%) than former President Biden (27%) for the current state of the economy, according to Falsification. Another 21% say that responsibility is shared. It could be flattering for Trump if people liked where things are, but they don’t.
A CBS News / Yougov Pollwhich was led shortly before that of Trump “Release dayThe prices have entered into force, found that 64% of Americans think it does not do enough to reduce prices. And the part which believes that its policies will aggravate them financially increased from 28% in January to 42% by the end of March. He is sure to assume that the feeling had only worsened since.
The last Civil The data support this: from Friday, 32% registered voters note the economy as “very bad” and another 30% Say it is “pretty bad”. Just 30% Call it “pretty good” and only 4% Say it is “very good”.
Republicans are particularly conflict. In the Gallup survey, 55% of Republicans said that Biden was responsible for the state of the economy, while only 21% blamed Trump. However, a lot in the party too priced– the very policies that drag on the markets and climb prices.
The Republicans were the only partisan group more likely to blame Biden for the economy. Most Democrats (75%) and a plurality of self -employed (43%) said Trump.
Trump’s spin does not hold. Last year, we were told the Markets increased Because investors have anticipated his return. Now we are supposed to believe that they are decreasing because investors suddenly remember Biden?
Voters will finally blame Biden – or Democrats – for the state of the economy? Probably not. Confidence in economic issues is starting to inclination towards the Democrats. Trump may want to take note of it, but he has never been a responsibility. The truth is simple: the pain that the Americans feel is the direct result of Trump’s policies, especially his prices. He wants credit for the ups and none of the blame for the stockings. Voters cannot let it take down.
The racial calculation that was not
In two weeks, May 25, it was five Since George Floyd has been assassinated by a white police officer in Minneapolis. The world horrorAnd Demonstrations broke out. There were urgent calls to Transform the policewith some even calling for Fund it.
At the time, the Americans were careful. In June 2020, more than 80% followed the demonstrations closely, tied with their accent put on the COVID-19 pandemic, according to the Pew Research Center. Support for Black Lives Matter culminated that summer, with 67% of adults support the movement.
But almost everything has changed.
Today, only 52% of Americans support dark life – a drop in 15 percentage points. Almost three -quarters of Americans (72%) now say that the renewed accent on racial inequality after Floyd’s death has not led to significant improvements in black life.
Even more disturbing is that Americans have become more pessimistic about the future of racial equality. Among those who believe that the country has not made adequate progress, 49% now say that it is possible that blacks will never have equal rights with whites, against 39% in 2020.
Pew’s new report does not plunge why feeling has changed so radically, but the burden of change has always fallen on colored communities and democrats. In eight years of CIVIQS survey, a majority White registered voters have never supported Black Lives Matter. The support culminated at 44% just after the murder of Floyd, but fell quickly after that. From now on, only 34% of white voters support the movement, while 52% oppose it.
It is not only white Americans or Republicans Stay on the way. Companies that have shaped once to adopt diversity, equity and inclusion initiatives are now Abandon them quietlyMany do it even before Trump signs executive decree dismantle dei through the federal government. That said everything. For many, the objective was never justice; It was a brand question.
Is racial progress possible with a president who stokes division every turn? Probably not. Five years after the murder of Floyd, these figures show how much the country is still going to go.
America was Great – just not now
Has America ever been really great? It is to debate, but there are a few periods when Americans think that things were at least better than they are now.
A newly released Yougov The investigation asked the Americans to assess the quality of life at various points in American history. Unsurprisingly, the respondents agree that life did not prosper exactly during the Great Depression (1929-1939) or the Civil War (1861-65), a time defined by national and racial upheavals. More than 70% of Americans say that life in the United States was “poor” or “terrible” during each of these periods.
So when was life in America great?
The era associated with former President Ronald Reagan (1980-91) is at the top of the list, with 57% the appellant “excellent” or “good”. The years of Clinton (1993-2001) at 55%, the Baby-boom post-second world war (1946-1964), at 51%, and the era of the turbulent counter-culture of 1964-1974, which 46%of Americans mark as “excellent” or “good”.
And the present moment? Only 32% give it a positive note, while 34% say that it is “poor” or “terrible” and 29% additional say that it is simply “fair”.
Why gloom? Although the wider discord fed by Trump in American politics surely plays a role, the survey was also organized shortly after the prices of Trump’s “liberation day” had entered into force and lowered the stock market. And the same survey also reveals that 21% of Americans say that the current quality of life most likes the great depression, and 28% says that it looks like the great recession. In other words, the investigation probably attracted Americans at a particularly negative moment.
So when Trump says he wants to make America super “still”, when does he try to revive? Perhaps the reagan years, but the fact that it leaves it vague suggests that it appeals to the misty nostalgia of the Americans for the days of glory which never really existed.
Updates?
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Despite Trump’s repeated threats Against Harvard University, the public sees the school in a positive light. A new Economist / Yougov Poll notes that 57% of Americans consider Harvard favorably, against only 24% who see him unfavorably. It is a reminder that Trump’s meanness cannot cancel the country’s prestige richest and the most legendary university. As for Trump Wish to strip Harvard of its tax exemption status? The Americans are mainly divided – 41% in favor, 36% opposed.
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Analysts warn that Trump is Promised tax On films made abroad, could reduce the production of Hollywood and increase ticket prices, it is therefore not surprising that 55% of Americans oppose a 100% price on films produced outside the United States, while only 25% support it, according to a new Yougov survey.
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Trump tries to Dismantle AmericanA service program helping communities nationally. Its administration has placed around 85% of its staff on leave And canceled hundreds of millions of dollars in grants. But voters are not on board. A new Data for progress Poll concludes that after having read a brief description of the program, 74% of probable voters support the program, with only 14% of opposing it. This also supports party lines: 79% of Democrats, 73% of independents and third -party voters and even 70% of Republicans support it.
Ambient check
During the NBC “Meet the press“Last Sunday, Trump minimized Its potential pursuit of a third unconstitutional term – something that no one wants, Not even the Republicans. Instead, he floated Two possible successors: Vice-president JD Vance and the Secretary of State /Interim National Security Advisor/ American archivist Marco Rubio.
“You watch Marco, you look at JD Vance, who is fantastic,” said Trump. “You look – I could name 10, 15, 20 people at the moment sitting here. No, I think we have a huge party. And you know how I can’t name? I can’t name a Democrat.”
But how do Vance numbers hide next to Trump’s? According to CivilVance has a 41% favorable rating and 55% unfavorablewho is worse than Trump’s favorability (43% favorable, 54% unfavorable).
The partisan lines are clear: republican voters have warmed up in Vance, with its favorites going from around 79% in July 2024 to 88% now. Democrats, not surprisingly, hate him even more than before – since about 92% unfavorable last July 95% today.
The biggest Vance problem, however, reflects Trump’s: the self -employed. CIVIQS finds that 56% of independent voters see the vice-president unfavorably, compared to 38% who considers it favorably. And it is a slide from where he started. January 20 – The day of the inauguration of Trump – the self -employed were almost divided on Vance: 45% favorable, 46% unfavorable.
Whatever goodwill he had appeared for a long time.
It is not difficult to see why. He got down to an administration that causes economic chaos, the emptying of immigration protections and plunging him more into authoritarianism. If the voters consider him Trump with a younger face, who can blame them?
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