Premier League predictions and best bets: Fulham to beat Crystal Palace down | Football news

Our football betting expert, Jones Knows, gives his thoughts on the Premier League weekend card…

Brighton vs West Ham, Sunday 2 p.m., live on Sky Sports

Freddie Potts has made a big impression since his arrival in West Ham’s midfield, adding much-needed steel, aggression and tenacity to an area that was lacking under Graham Potter. The midfielder has been fouled eight times in his last four starts and in his last 31 club starts he has averaged 1.8 won fouls per game.

Only three teams have committed more fouls since the start of last season than Brighton, who play a very fast and aggressive game in midfield. Potts being fouled at least twice at 5/4 with Sky Bet is a tasty prop to attack.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1

Fulham vs Crystal Palace, Sunday 4:30 p.m., live on Sky Sports

This is usually a part of the season where Marco Silva’s team finds rhythm and reaches an optimal level of performance. While other teams, like Crystal Palace, falter due to fighting on multiple fronts, Silva’s team plays with an added edge. In the period since the last international break and Boxing Day, Silva has a Premier League win rate of 52% in 19 matches. That’s a huge figure for a club that has the expectations of Fulham.

One of their victories that went unnoticed was their 1-0 win over Sunderland at home. The stats behind this victory were very strong, winning the expected goals battle 2.16-0.17 and making 24 shots, 18 of which came from inside the box. They dominated a team that has proven to be a very difficult opponent for Chelsea, Arsenal and Liverpool this season.

And Palace are a team to bet against when the time is right during this turbulent period. This is their fifth game in 16 days and Oliver Glasner has made the fewest changes to the Premier League starting XI this season (12). Palace are a fantastic team but this group cannot continue to perform well at the highest level. Fulham who win at 8/5 with Sky Bet does the job.

SCORE PREDICTION: 2-1

Wolves vs Manchester United, Monday 8 p.m., live on Sky Sports

Hold your breath, Wolves fans, this isn’t going to be pretty.

Wolves have the fewest points (2) after 14 games against any team in a Premier League season and have lost their last seven Premier League games, going 495 minutes without a goal. Rob Edwards has the same bounce as throwing a brick on the ground.

But in football, these runs don’t last forever. They crack. And when they do, it’s often during a game where the market has started to price out the timid team.

A six-hour lack of scoring is not a reflection of a team without a threat, it is a reflection of a team down and out of trouble. And there are currently few defenses better suited to gift-giving opportunities than Manchester United’s away from home. Since April 1, it’s no joke that United have gone 12 away games without a clean sheet, conceding 24 goals – only Bournemouth have conceded more in that period. Additionally, their expected goals ratio of 1.72 per 90 is the worst of any Premier League team ever over these 12 games.

Both teams score and over 2.5 goals, it’s the game at 10/11 with Sky Bet.

SCORE PREDICTION: 2-2

Jones Knows’ best bet:

• Hat-trick 1 pt on: handicap +2 from Sunderland, double chance for Leeds and Kyle Walker to commit errors of +2 (10/1 with Sky Bet)