Padres against diamondbacks prediction, dimensions, choice – July 9

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Josh Naylor and the Arizona Diamondbacks will hit the field on Wednesday at PETCO Park against Dylan Cease, who is projected to start for the San Diego Padres. First pitch is at 9:40 p.m. ET for the second game of a four-game series. Oddsmakers list the Padres as -141 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Diamondbacks +118 moneyline odds to win. San Diego (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The over/under is 7.5 runs for this matchup.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Padres-Diamondbacks game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Padres vs. Diamondbacks Game Information & Odds

• When: Wednesday, July 9, 2025 at 9:40 p.m. ET
• Where: PETCO Park in San Diego, California
• How to watch on TV: SDPA and ARID
• Score Prediction: Padres 5, Diamondbacks 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Padres 53%, Diamondbacks 47%
• The Padres have entered the game as favorites 47 times this season and won 28, or 59.6%, of those games.
• San Diego has entered 29 games this season favored by -141 or more and is 18-11 in those contests.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Padres have a 58.5% chance to win.
• The Diamondbacks have come away with 14 wins in the 29 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• Arizona has a win-loss record of 11-3 when favored by +118 or worse by bookmakers this year.
• The Diamondbacks have an implied victory probability of 45.9% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
• The Padres were the moneyline favorite in five of their last 10 games, and went 2-3 in those matchups.
• In their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Padres and their opponents combined to go over the run total four times.
• The Padres are 5-5-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.
• Manny Machado leads the Padres with 15 home runs and 53 runs batted in, while putting up a team-best batting average of .293.
• Machado’s home runs rank him 40th in MLB, and he is 30th in RBI.
• Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit 15 home runs to pace his team.
• Among all major league hitters, Tatis is 40th in home runs and 87th in RBI.
• Luis Arraez is batting .292 with 17 doubles, four triples, four home runs and 18 walks.
• Arraez has at least one base hit in four games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .450 with two walks and two RBIs.
• Gavin Sheets has 14 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 26 walks while batting .261.
• The DiamondBacks have played as undersondogs in three of their past 10 games and won two of those disputes.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the diamondbacks and their opponents are 7-3-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
• The DiamondBacks Have Four Wins Against the Spread in their last 10 chances.
• Geraldo Perdomo has 18 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 53 walks while batting .271.
• Perdomo’s Home Run Total Place Him 129th in MLB, and He Ranks 12th in RBI.
• Naylor’s .299 Batting Average Leads His Team.
• Naylor is 88th Among All Batters in MLB in Home Runs, and 15th in RBI.
• Eugenio suarez has been signaling run producer for the diamondbacks with 28 home runs and 74 runs drums in.
• Corbin Carroll is Batting .250 with 14 doubles, 10 triple, 20 home runs and 30 walks.

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