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odds, team probabilities and odds

Day 17 of Opening 2025 presents a confrontation that, on paper, seems very unequal. THE UANL Tigersin the midst of the struggle for sub-leadership, receive a Atlético San Luis who no longer has Play-In aspirations.

He feline team He arrives at an unbeatable moment, fourth in the standings with 33 points and a streak of five games without defeat (four wins and one draw), in addition to being the best defense in the tournament with only 15 goals conceded.

For his part, the Saint-Louis He is fourteenth with 16 units; Even though they have won two of their last three matches, their tournament has been very inconsistent.

With overwhelming favoritism for the home team, we leave you below the detailed analysis of odds, probabilities and recommendations so you can make the best decision.

Monterrey vs Tigres UAN – Aperture 2025 Leader MX | Rodrigues

Odds for the Tigres vs Atlético San Luis match:

  • UANL Tigers: -239
  • Draw: +370
  • Atlético San Luis: +610

The numbers are overwhelming: The Tigers are the big favorites to win the match. Odds of -239 reflect a cat’s very high probability of winning. A San Luis victory is considered a major achievement and provides an extraordinary payout of +610.

Chances of victory

Taking the odds as a reference, the approximate probabilities are:

  • UANL Tigers: 68% – 71%
  • Draw: 20% – 22%
  • Atlético San Luis: 13% – 15%

The probability calculation confirms the status of The Tigers as big candidates to take the three pointswith more than 70% possibilities. The chances of San Luis making a splash at “El Volcán” are statistically very low.

Double chance:

  • Tigres UANL/Draw: -1000
  • Tigres UANL/Atlético San Luis: -700
  • Atlético San Luis/Tie: +180

Quotas in this market are prohibitive for options including Tigers. The only bet with real value, although very risky, is “Atlético San Luis/Draw” (+180).

Bouquet Sebastián Pérez

Atletico San Luis v FC Juarez – Torneo Apertura 2025 Liga MX | Jam Media/GettyImages

Do both teams score?

The scales tip towards Both teams will be able to appear on the scoreboard. The -143 rating suggests that even though the Tigres are the better defense, the expectation is that San Luis’ offense (24 goals scored) can find space and score.

Total objectives:

  • Over 3.5 goals: +135
  • Under 3.5 goals: -175

The goal line is set at 3.5, which suggests a good amount of goals. However, the trend clearly leans towards a party with under 3.5 goalswith odds of -175. This suggests that, although goals are expected, a 2-1 or 3-0 is more likely than a shocking rout.

Tigres vs Atlético San Luis match prediction:

Total dominance is expected from the Tigers, who will look to close the tournament strong in front of their fans and secure second place. The league’s best defense should have no problem against a mid-table rival. A likely marker, according to the artificial intelligence analysis, would be a 3-0 in favor of the Tigers.

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