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Hurricane Erin, first of all from the Atlantic season, is slightly weakened in category 4. The cards show its way and its forecasts.

Erin quickly strengthened in a category 5 hurricane on the Atlantic Ocean on Saturday before weakening a category 4 status slightly, but remained a powerful storm while she underwent a process called “eye replacement cycle”, said National Hurricane Center.

The Miami -based center said that hurricane hunters had found that Erin had maximum sustained winds of 140 mph. A Category 4 Hurricane is defined as having maximum sustained winds of 130 mph or more.

“Certain intensity fluctuations are expected over the next two days due to structural changes in nuclei,” said the Hurricane Center.

On Saturday at 11 p.m. on Saturday, the hurricane was located around 145 miles northeast of the Puerto Rican capital of San Juan, moving northwest to 14 mi / h.

The center of Erin was to start moving away from the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico on Sunday, then to go to the east of the Turkish Islands and CAICOS and the Southeast of the Bahamas on Sunday evening and Monday. The Hurricane Center has warned that heavy rain in certain regions could trigger sudden floods, landslides and mud shifts.

A satellite image of Hurricane Erin as she turns into the Atlantic at 8:20 p.m. East time on August 16, 2025.

Noaa


Tropical storm watches were in place for the Turkish islands and caicos.

Erin, who went from a tropical hurricane storm on Friday, is the first hurricane of the Atlantic season 2025.

The forecasters urged the inhabitants of the Caribbean islands to follow the progress of Erin, warning the potential of strong precipitation and potentially mortal and surfing rip current terms.

Erin is not currently planned to have an impact on the United States, but meteorologists continue to look at him closely.

What is an eye replacement cycle -o-Enerle?

The Hurricane Center revealed on Saturday evening that Ecrin suffered a “eye replacement cycle”, which, according to the meteorologist of CBS News, Nikki Nolan, is when the storm became so powerful as its eye wall, its strongest part, reaches a maximum force.

When this happens, said Nolan, the eye wall itself becomes so intense when entering the energy available from its environment that a new eye wall will start to rely on the outside of the existing inner eye tank. Once the new eye wall has been created, it cuts the fuel towards the original eye wall.

In addition, while the new eye wall is gaining strength to follow the power of the storm, the radius of the eye itself will become much larger than it was originally, said Nolan.

This process can temporarily weaken the storm and its wind speeds can slow down as it regains strength.

According to Nolan, however, after this process, the storm could emerge even stronger than before.

The cards show the way for Hurricane Erin forecast

The Chemin d’Erin continued to bend northern on Saturday, with the center of the hurricane passing north of the northern underwitting islands and Puerto Rico.

The northern Leewards extend from the virgin islands to Guadeloupe and include St. Martin, St. Barts and other islands. Officials issued tropical storm watches for several islands, alerting people from the possibility of winds between 39 MPH and 73 MPH.

Hurricane Erin projected path

A map shows the projected path of Hurricane Erin at 8 p.m. HAE, August 15, 2025.

CBS News


A “spaghetti card” of forecast models shows the storm that folds the Caribbean islands and remaining well off the east coast of the United States while it moves north.

Erin Spaghetti card

A “spaghetti card” shows models for forecasting the Hurricane Chemin Erin on August 16, 2025.

CBS News


A high -pressure system in the Atlantic was to keep Erin away from the eastern coast while a cold front was also to push the hurricane offshore, the meteorologist in the CBS News Bay region, Jessica Burch reported.

On the American virgin islands, officials of the National Park Service announced that the sites of the island of Saint-Croix would be closed from Friday afternoon until the storm passes.

Anatomy of a hurricane

A look at the elements that make up the Hurricane Erin. August 16, 2025.

CBS News


First hurricane of the Atlantic season

Erin formed as a tropical storm West on Monday of the island nation of Cabo Verde, a few hundred kilometers from the west coast of Africa. It’s the fifth Named Storm From the Hurricane season of the Atlantic 2025, which started in June and takes place until November.

So far this year, Tropical Storm Chantal is the only one to have touched landing in the United States, bringing Mortal floods in North Carolina in early July. In June, Barry marked Earth as a tropical depression on the eastern coast of Mexico.

Erin’s increased strength occurs while the Atlantic Hurricane season approaches his peak in September. According to the Hurricane Center, most of the activity of the season generally occurs between mid-August and mid-October. In the eastern Pacific Ocean, the hurricane season begins on May 15 with a peak of activity generally observed at the end of August.

The American national ocean and atmospheric administration, or Noaa, provides for a higher season For the Atlantic this year, waiting between 13 and 18 years old named Storms.

Tropical storms have sustained maximum winds of at least 39 MPH. The Noaa forecasters provided that between five and nine of the storms this year could become hurricanes, who have supported at least 74 MPH. Hurricane are evaluated on a scale Based on their wind speeds, ranging from category 1, the weakest, to category 5, the most serious note.

Noaa forecasters predicted that there could be between two and five major hurricanes in the Atlantic this season.

Nikki Nolan contributed to this report.

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