How is this British heat unusual and climate change is to blame?

A second spell of temperatures much more than 30 ° C even before we have reached the end of June-how unusual it is and how much climate change is blamed?

Temperatures of 34C are possible Monday or Tuesday in southeast England.

They were triggered by a high pressure zone which “stuck” on Europe, known as thermordium.

But climatologists are clear that the heat will inevitably have been stimulated by our warming climate.

Some might say that these temperatures seem “like summer” – and it is true that they are much cooler than the 40C record and the more the United Kingdom struck in July 2022.

But it is important to know how unusual unusual temperatures are for the United Kingdom.

In the second half of the 20th century, one in ten years saw summits of 35 ° C or more, according to the BBC, the analysis of the data is office.

But this heat becomes more common. Between 2015 and 2024, half of the years experienced 35 ° C or more.

And these temperatures are particularly unusual for June, generally the coolest summer month.

“The recording of 34C in June in the United Kingdom is a relatively rare event, with only a few days since the 1960s,” said Dr. Amy Doherty, climatologist at the Met Office.

The hottest days of June recorded took place in 1957 and 1976 at 35.6c. The next few years on the list are 2017 with a June 34.5 ° C and 2019 summit with 34.0C.

The forecasts suggest that 2025 could approach them.

And other data from the Met Office also show that during the decade 2014-2023, the days exceeded 32 ° C more than three times more often in the United Kingdom than during the period 1961-1990.

It is well established that climate change makes heat waves stronger and more likely.

While humans burn coal, oil and gas and cut forests, carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases are released in the atmosphere.

These gases act like a blanket, which heat the planet.

Until now, humans have heated the planet of 1.36 ° C above the levels of the late 1800s, reported earlier this month.

It might not seem much. But even a small increase in the average temperature of the earth can move extremely heat from the much higher levels.

“Climate change changes absolute play with regard to heat in Europe, which makes heat waves much more frequent, especially the warmest, and more intense,” said Dr. Friederike Otto, an associate professor at Imperial College London.

And as climate change continues, heat waves will continue to become more likely and could reach even higher temperatures.

“The severity of summer heat waves, but also dry and humid time events and humid times, will continue to get worse until we reteader our greenhouse gas and stabilize our warming climate,” said Richard Allan, professor of climate sciences at the University of Reading.

Temperatures in the middle of the thirties are more common in other parts of the world of course.

But in many cases, the infrastructure of the United Kingdom – roads and railways to hospitals and care homes – is simply poorly designed for such heat.

The Climate Change Committee – The independent government advisor – warned, for example, that more properties are likely to overheat in the decades to come.

And these risks are not also distributed between the population.

“Air conditioning and other cooling systems become crucial to maintain health, productivity and quality of life in the midst of increasing temperatures,” said Dr. Radhika Khosla, Associate Professor at the University of Oxford

“However, access to cooling is unfortunately rarely equal even in developed countries, and the most disadvantaged people in the United Kingdom will support the weight of this heat wave,” she added.

And so waves of heat like this highlight not only the nature of our changing climate, but also the challenges that adapt to it.