The strategy (MSTR) will publish a profit for the second quarter consecutive in the third quarter thanks to an increase in the price of Bitcoin . This would once again qualify the company for a potential inclusion of S&P 500.
According to Jeff Walton, Risk Director of Strive, the strategy will have won around $ 2.9 billion, or $ 10 per share thanks to the Bitcoin passage, of a level of around $ 107,000 to $ 114,000 at the end of the quarter. In the last four quarters, MSTR will have won about $ 22.80 per share.
The analysis is billed to an estimated tax obligation of $ 970 million, leaving an estimated net profit at 2.9 billion dollars. The analysis ends with a profit per share of twelve months estimated at $ 22.8, reflecting positive BPA in the second quarter and a positive BPA estimated in the third quarter of 2025 ($ 32.6 and $ 10.1, respectively) which compensate for negative results in the fourth quarter 2024 and Q1 2025.
Although the positive BPA of twelve months is a requirement for the inclusion of S&P 500, other criteria include a last positive quarter, more than 50% of public float and an average daily negotiation volume greater than 250,000 shares – which MSTR has all. The S&P 500 committee, however, is not necessary to add a business simply because it meets these criteria.
The fourth quarter of 2025 S&P 500 rebalancing should take effect after closing the market on December 19.
STRC has increased the dividend rate
Beyond the potential inclusion of S&P 500, the strategy has increased its dividend rate on its privileged perpetual shares from 10% to 10.25% and declared cash dividends to pay on October 31, with directives that the rates will be assessed using the VWAP of five days of STRC before the day of final negotiation of each month, according to analyst Ben Werkman. STRC is currently at a price of $ 97 (in the band from $ 95 to $ 98.99), which resulted in an increase of 25 base points, and the strategy indicated that it will continue to increase the rate to bring the STRC closer to its nominal value of $ 100.
MSTR shares are 2.9% pre-commercial as high as a 3% increase in Bitcoin prices to $ 116,700.
