Matteo Berrettini vs Giulio Zeppieri Preview, Predictions and Betting Odds for ATP Stockholm Open 2025 Round-1
Winner against the number 4 seed Ugo Humbert in R16.
Former Wimbledon finalist Matteo Berrettini will look to return to winning ways at the 2025 ATP Stockholm Open, as he faces compatriot Giulio Zeppieri in the round of 16. The 29-year-old Italian’s most recent victory on tour came last month at the Japan Open, after which he struggled to find his feet. Meanwhile, Zeppieri impressed during qualifying to reach this stage. With the help of BetMGM, we’ll preview this matchup before offering you the favorable odds.
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Matteo Berrettini vs Giulio Zeppieri Match Preview
After peaking in 2021-2022, Matteo Berrettini is fighting to return to the top places on the men’s circuit. The Italian is 14-14 in the 2025 season and has failed to secure any titles. A former Top 10 player, Berrettini is currently ranked No. 61 in the world. Three quarter-finals in Doha, Dubai and Miami are the 29-year-old’s only notable outings. He won 89% of service games and 15% of return games on hard court this year. After being eliminated in the round of 16 in Stockholm last season, this is a great opportunity for Berrettini to gain some ranking points.
Giulio Zeppieri, a young 23-year-old player, has only played 6 main draw matches on the circuit this year. Mainly featured on the ATP Challenger Tour, he fell in the qualifying tournament at several events. This week, No. 7 seed Zeppieri defeated Sachko and Zahraj in qualifying to advance to the main draw. A good run will be vital for the world No.160 to improve his career success rate of 27% so far. A flashy left-hander seeking a top championship finish after winning four Challenger/ITF trophies, Zeppieri will look to build on his recent performance ahead of the quarter-finals in Hangzhou.
The head-to-head record between Italian duo Matteo Berrettini and Giulio Zeppieri is currently 0-0. They will face each other for the first time at the ATP-250 in Stockholm.
Career comparison between Matteo Berrettini and Giulio Zeppieri
| Matteo Berrettini | Category | Giulio Zeppieri |
| 61 | Current ranking | 160 |
| 202-112 | WL career record | 7-19 |
| 14-14 | WL record since the start of the year | 1-5 |
| 10 | Career titles | 0 |
| 0 | Cumulative titles | 0 |
| 0 | Grand Slam | 0 |
Matteo Berrettini vs Giulio Zeppieri ATP Stockholm Open 2025 Prediction
Berrettini has the experience to defeat Zeppieri, who fights players with power and precision. The left-hander will have to stay away from his Italian compatriot’s powerful forehand and adopt an attacking return position to win on Berrettini’s serve. Zeppieri will be pleased with his own serve so far – winning over 70% of points on first and second serves throughout qualifying. Provided he can exploit Berrettini’s average return game and go deeper, anything is possible.
Prediction: Matteo Berrettini in three sets.
Matteo Berrettini vs Giulio Zeppieri ATP Stockholm Open 2025 Betting Odds
Berrettini (13/25) is a big favorite and Zeppieri (6/4) is an underdog in the round of 16 of the 2025 Stockholm Open. According to the implied probability on the money line, the 29-year-old has a 77% chance of qualifying for the pre-quarterfinals. Here are the chances (according to BetMGM):
- Victory for Matteo Berrettini: 13/25
- Victory for Giulio Zeppieri: 6/4
- Total games >23.5: 17/20
- Total games <23.5: 22/25
- Berrettini -2.5 (playing handicap): Same
- Total sets <2.5: 8/13
- Berrettini +1.5 (fixed handicap): 2/11
- Set-1 to Berrettini (Yes): 3/5
- Total games in set-1 <10.5: 3/5
(According to BetMGM: BetMGM offers exclusive promo codes, bonus offers and accurate odds to users when they sign up. Use BetMGM to succeed in your betting game in all sports!)
(Image credits: Susan Mullane, Imagn Images)
