ATP 250 Kitzbuhel Final
BUBLIK – CAZAUX: 26.07.2025 14:30 It’s
H2H: 2-0
Alexander Bublik won seven consecutive games. Last week in Gstaad, Bublik won the title, beating Cerundolo JM in the final in three tight sets. It was his first ATP title on Clay. Here in Kitzbühel, the Kazakh beaten in its opening match in straight sets. He saved the three stopping points. In the second round, the Kazakh beat Shevchenko in two sets. He was super under pressure, saving the five stopping points. Van de Zandschulp had no chance in the semi-finals against Kazakh. Bublik dragged 1-4 in the second set, but won five consecutive games and closed the match. Looking at the past, Bublik never succeeded in clay courts. However, he played his best tennis on each surface this season and seems to enter the top 20. This is his second appearance in Kitzbühel. During his first campaign, 2020, Bublik lost against Hanfmann in the first round in two sets.
Arthur Cazaux has won four of his last five games. Last week in Gstaad, the Frenchman lost against Bublik in the semi-finals. This week in Kitzbuhel, Cazaux won against noise in the first round in three tight sets after spending more than two hours. He beat Comesana in the second round in straight sets. He offered and saved a single stop point. The Frenchman dominated Struff in the quarter -final, winning straight sets. Again, Cazaux saved all the stops. In the semi-finals, the Frenchman defeated Rinderknech in two sets. His service was untouchable, offering no stop throughout the match. With this victory, Cazaux entered his first ATP final. This is his first campaign in Kitzbühel.
Best bets to do
Main parish
According to bookmakers, Bublik is the big favorite of this match, but we do not agree. Cazaux played his best tennis this week and served great. BUBLIK is in great shape, but the Frenchman is a dangerous player when he serves well. We believe that Cazaux will serve again well and will keep this match tight.
That being said, Cazaux covering the game handicap is a value bet.
Bet / The Best Odds value: Arthur Cazaux +3.5 Handicap games @ 2.00 @ bet365
Second bet
The two players served great throughout the tournament. The conditions in Kitzbühel are fast. During their last meeting head to the other, barely a week ago, Bublik won in two sets. However, once Cazaux adapted to his game, the second set was tight. We expect a tight match with possible equality break and perhaps three sets.
That being said, On games is a value bet.
Bet value / The best dimensions: more than 22.5 games @ 1,91 @ bet365
Third bet
If you like to take risks, we think Cazaux will have its chances today. There is a value bet on him and the total match matches exceeding 22.5.
That being said, Cazaux’s victory and more than 22.5 games is a value bet.
Bet value / The best dimensions: Arthur Cazaux to win and 23+ Total match games @ + 600 @fanduel
Main photo credit: Geoff Burke-USA Sports today
