Is Donald Trump’s Gaza Peace Plan really viable?

The plan makes no mention of the West Bank, which houses more than 2.5 million Palestinians. The Israeli colonies have more and more empipet in the Palestinian areas, with the approval of the far -right allies of Netanyahu. However, the Palestinian authority, which governs certain parts of the West Bank, argued the Trump plan. He said he would make internal reforms to facilitate “a modern, democratic and non -militarized Palestinian state” which would include new elections and allow “peaceful transfer of power”. However, these promises were made in previous peace initiatives, with little impact. The Palestinian authority has also promised to put an end to the practice of families financially enriching with those involved or who die in a conflict with Israel.
Netanyahu’s polite appearance in the White House on Monday made an astonishing contrast with the speech he had given only three days earlier to the United Nations, where most of the delegations came out of the general assembly room to protest. In a long-term rant, the Prime Minister had denounced Great Britain, France, Canada and Australia for having officially recognized a Palestinian state. The four governments, a long -standing allies of Israel, had just joined more than one hundred and fifty other UN members who support a solution to two states. Netanyahu called them all “weak leaders who will appease evil”. He charged: “Surprisingly, when we fight the terrorists who murdered many of your citizens, you fight us. You condemn us. You embaro us. And you have political and legal war. ” The message is that “the murder of Jews is paying”. Israel, he promised, would not allow them to “push a terrorist state in our gorges”.
On Monday, however, Netanyahu praised the Trump plan, which calls “a credible path towards self -determination and the Palestinian state, which we recognize as the aspiration of the Palestinian people”, but without delay. During their joint appearance, he said: “We will open up possibilities that no one even dreamed of.” The Prime Minister can play with Trump for now, as he has done with other administrations, Ben-Ami told me. “If there is a constant of more than thirty years of relations with Netanyahu, it is that nothing is ever definitive, nothing can be accepted at its nominal value,” he said.
Netanyahu is almost certainly aware that American public support in Israel is decreasing. In a Quinnipiac survey published last week, forty-seven percent of respondents say that support for Israel is in the American national interest, but it is a significant drop in sixty-nine percent following October 7. (Also in last week’s survey: only twenty -one percent of Americans have a favorable vision of Netanyahu.) Another new survey, by the Times And the University of Siena, noted that more Americans are on the side of the Palestinians than with Israel – a first. In a seismic change, a majority also opposed the sending of more aid to Israel, long the ally closest to the United States in the Middle East.
The biggest long -term question for Israel is what Iran does then. The two nations engaged in a twelve day war, in June, during which Israel murdered senior Iranian military leaders and nuclear specialists. The United States has also launched air strikes out of three of Iran’s most important nuclear installations. During the press conference, Trump wondered if Iran could join other Muslim countries to adopt its Gaza peace plan. “We hope we will be able to agree with Iran,” he told journalists. “I think they will be opened there. I really believe it. ”
The perspective seemed very improbable. In his own appearance at the United Nations General Assembly last week, Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian condemned “wild assault” by Israel and the United States during the twelve-day war, in “flagrant-ununescent” of international law and on the eve of the planned diplomacy between Téhran and Washington. He was unleashed separately in Great Britain, France and Germany for having triggered so-called snapback sanctions on Tehran’s failure to compromise on his nuclear program. Sanctions will further hinder the Iran oil and banks. They also demand that UN members freeze foreign assets from Iran, end the arms agreements and cut the main sources of income.
During a meeting with media experts and the reflection group on Friday, Pezeshkian said that Israel and the United States intended to “overthrow” theocracy. “They thought that after a few assassinations and bombs, people descend into the street and would end things,” he said. Pezeshkian insisted that a Fatwa of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei had long banned Iran from making a nuclear bomb. “We are not allowed under our religion to build nuclear weapons installations,” he told us. If Tehran had looked for nuclear weapons, “we would have them now.”
However, in July, Tehran promulgated a new law suspended Co -Popation with the UN nuclear guard dog. Two weeks ago, a public letter of sixty -eleven members of the Parliament, about a quarter of the unicameral organism, argued that the edict of Khamenei prohibited the to use nuclear weapons but do not prohibit building Or storage dissuasive.
Snapback sanctions against Iran entered into force on Sunday morning. They marked an official end with strict negotiations, led by the Obama administration, which produced the complete joint action plan a decade ago. The Snapback provision was designed to allow one of the six world powers that have negotiated the agreement to demand that the sanctions be reposed if Tehran violated its requirements. But the provision had an expiration date – on October 18 of this year – which is why Europeans invoked it.
Timing may also have played a role in Trump’s Gaza’s plan. The president has often and publicly put pressure on the Nobel Peace Prize. The White House recently published a list of leaders and governments supporting it. The price should be awarded on October 10. ♦




