Hospitals are preparing for $ 149 billion for payments led by Medicaid State

Hospitals put on hold of major extension projects and offender for service reductions, because new limits to payments led by Medicaid threaten to tighten already tight finances.
To worsen things, many hospitals will see their income and their margins decrease as millions of Americans lose health coverage and uncompensated care costs increase in the recently promulgated budget reconciliation package, nicknamed the major bill.
The law restricts the new payments led by Medicaid, financial agreements allowing states to make additional payments to health care providers for services covered by managed care contracts. It caps these payments to 100% of health insurance rates in the MEDICAID expansion states and 110% in non-expanding states, while gradually reducing existing payments higher than these levels from 2028.
Changes will reduce Federal Medicaid expenses of $ 149 billion over 10 years, according to the KFF health policies research company.
State -run payments allow states to mandate that care regimes managed by Medicaid compensate suppliers at specific rates, which have been marked against commercial insurance rates which can be double or triple what Medicare pays. Payments have become an essential source of income, totaling more than $ 100 billion in annual medical spending on a national scale.
While state -run payments are reduced, hospitals will also have to increase the uninsured increase in population, which should increase by 10 million under the legislation and add $ 433 billion to the unpaid care costs of hospitals from 2025 to 2034.
Safety security hospitals will be particularly vulnerable because they treat a large number of Medicaid and not insured patients.
“Our member hospitals will be really in double incrimination in the coming years,” said Beth Feldpush, the main advocacy vice-president and policies in American essential hospitals, which represents more than 350 security net suppliers. “Their unpaid care costs will increase because people will always come for treatment, and once they are discovered, many of these costs will simply end up unpaid care for our hospitals.”
Overview
The payment reductions led by the State, which are the third source of federal Savings of Medicaid in the reconciliation package, come while the congress on the congress is raised concerns concerning the rapid growth and the transparency of the payments led by the State.
The Payment and Access Commission of Medicaid and Chip, which advises the Congress on the Payment Policy of Medicaid, called for better surveillance, noting that “it is not clear to what extent the payments led by the State have made significant improvements to access” to care.
Macpac has also raised concerns about states using creative financing programs that could inflate federal funding from Medicaid without the states having to invest their own resources.
Hospitals claim that state -led payments are an important source of financing, in particular for providers of rural communities and unpreosedy with a large share of Medicaid patients, because the program generally reimburses much less than Medicare or commercial insurance.
Providers or establishments dealing with many Medicaid patients rely on a patchwork of funding flows, including state -run and disproportionate hospital payments to strengthen their balance sheets, according to hospitals.
“Beyond the simple support for daily operations, these programs have been really transformative in communities across the country,” said Feldpush. “These are the communities that are at the limit of access to health care such as it is – in these small cities or rural counties, they are likely to lose health care in these regions if all this advances.”
Limited state options
States can try to replace lost federal funding, but many are limited by their budgets. Although the new limits to state -run payments will reduce 14% of the total Federal Medicaid expenses over 10 years, certain states, such as Louisiana, Illinois, Nevada and Oregon, face discounts of 19% or more.
Many financing agreements exist because states do not have enough general funds to fully support their Medicaid programs.
“It will be incredibly difficult for states to complete this funding, because states are generally not seated with a lot of money at their disposal,” said Feldpush.
States will probably have to make difficult choices, in particular the reduction of providers’ payment rates, the elimination of optional benefits or limitation of eligibility for Medicaid, according to Avi Herring, Managing Director of Manatt Health.
Hospitals rework their plans
Hospital leaders already revise their strategic plans as financial pressure rises. Extension projects and new facilities will be the first to deal with cuts while suppliers are trying to preserve money for future operational challenges, said Feldpush.
“The first thing they are going to do is withdraw new expenses,” she said. “If they had a plan in place to open a new ambulatory cancer center or develop a clinic in a certain district, these are the types of projects they probably consider now and perhaps make decisions they need.”
The impact will vary considerably according to the supplier and the State, certain hospitals potentially losing millions of annual income.
The for -profit hospital channels project hundreds of millions of losses. Universal Health Services said that state -led payment reductions and other provisions could cost it between $ 300 and $ 400 million by 2032. Tenet Healthcare, another large operator, awaits around 1.1 billion to $ 1.2 billion in 2025.
Rural hospitals are particularly at risk, 44% already operating in the red, according to KFF.
In Kansas, 87% of rural hospitals already operate at a loss, despite the payments led by the State, 47 of them being vulnerable to the closure. If the payments were reduced to 100% of medication rates, state hospitals would see a decline up to 21% of Medicaid payments, according to Commonwealth Fund.
“This legislation will limit access to care for all rural patients by ending health care coverage for rural residents nationally and by putting financial pressure on rural facilities that take care of them,” said the CEO of the National Rural Health Association, Alan Morgan, in a July press release.
Providers work with states to ensure that existing payments are eligible for “acquired rights” under the law, which would allow them to continue at current levels before the start of reductions in 2028.
“In the short term, providers work in collaboration with states to ensure that CMS will grow up their SDPs under the law,” said Herring. “In the long term medium, providers fear that the impact of SDP reductions – as well as other provisions such as working requirements and reductions in the tax threshold for the authorized supplier – will make much more difficult for them to serve the registrants of Medicaid.”
The congress appropriated $ 50 billion for the newly created rural health processing program by strengthening the finances of the rural supplier. However, rural suppliers argue that funding, which represents 37% of the estimated loss of federal funding from Medicaid in rural areas, will not be sufficient to maintain access to care.
“The NRHA is concerned about the fact that the rural health transformation program, dedicated to compensating for the reductions of Medicaid on rural communities, would not respond to the other provisions of this legislation,” said Morgan.
Terre of financial pressure
If the financial pressure is getting worse, hospitals go beyond the expansion of freezing the reduction of existing services, said Feldpush.
Service providers can close clinics in areas with a high cost of unpaid care, eliminate enveloping services such as social workers or remove offline beds if they cannot afford adequate allocation.
“If the financial situation is really as bad as we have planned, then they should see where they may have to retreat the services in their community,” said Feldpush. “The first step is not expanding. The second step is to back up what you have. And then finally, if none of these things work and the hospital is still in a really disastrous financial strait, it is when you see the closure of hospitals.”
It is not only hospitals that will feel the pinch. Nursing institutions, where Medicaid pays more than 60% of residents, and behavioral health providers who deserve state -led payments could also reduce services.
The financial pressure will be intensified over time, with 76% of the bills of the bill which should occur over the past five years to 2034.
For hospitals already operating on thin margins, the combination of reduced medicaid payments and unpaid care costs for an increase in care costs could prove to be unsustainable, which could offer a wave of reductions in services and installation closures in communities that can the least afford to lose access to health care.
“In the end, the cuts will reduce the funding of Medicaid to suppliers, which is likely to limit access to care for Medicaid patients,” said Herring.