Alabama vs. LSU odds, line, picks, predictions, best bets from a proven model

The LSU Tigers take on the fourth-ranked Alabama Crimson Tide in a key SEC game Saturday night. LSU is coming off a 49-25 loss to Texas A&M on Oct. 25, while Alabama beat South Carolina 29-22 the same day. The Tigers (5-3, 2-3 SEC), who are 10th in the conference, are 1-2 on the road this year. The Crimson Tide (7-1, 5-0 SEC), tied for first in the league, have won seven straight games. They are 4-0 at home.

Kickoff from Bryant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa, Alabama will be at 7:30 p.m. ET. Alabama leads the all-time series 57-27-5, including a 15-10 advantage in Tuscaloosa. The Crimson Tide are 10.5-point favorites in the latest LSU vs. Alabama odds, while the over/under in total points scored is 49.5 via SportsLine consensus. Before making any Alabama vs. LSU picks, check out the college football predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

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The model simulates each FBS game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated a betting profit of over $2,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks. Anyone tracking their college football betting picks at sportsbooks and betting sites could have seen some solid returns.

Now the model has set its sights on LSU against Alabama. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the FBS college football odds and trends for Alabama vs. LSU:

Why Alabama can cover

Junior quarterback Ty Simpson is on a roll. In eight games this season, he completed 177 of 261 passes (67.8%) for 2,184 yards and 20 touchdowns with just one interception for a rating of 162.6. He also totaled 79 yards and two scores. In a 38–14 victory over Wisconsin on September 13, he completed 24 of 29 passes for 382 yards and four touchdowns. In a 30-14 win over Vanderbilt, he completed 23 of 31 passes for 340 yards and two touchdowns with one interception.

His main target has been senior receiver Germie Bernard. He has five receptions in four of the last five games, including five catches for 54 yards and a touchdown in the win over South Carolina. He had five catches for 82 yards and a score against Vanderbilt. In eight games, he totaled 38 receptions for 526 yards (13.8 average) and six touchdowns. He also rushed 15 times for 94 yards and two touchdowns. Find out which team to support on SportsLine.

Why LSU can cover

Senior quarterback Garrett Nussmeier has been key to the Tigers’ success. In eight starts, he completed 176 of 267 passes (65.9%) for 1,806 yards and 12 touchdowns with five interceptions. He also rushed for a score. In a 20-10 win over South Carolina, he completed 20 of 33 passes for 254 yards and two touchdowns with two picks. He also ran for 30 yards four times, including a long of 21.

Among the many leaders on offense is second-year tight end Trey’Dez Green. In just four games, he has 21 receptions for 264 yards and four touchdowns, including one per game. He was dominant in a 20-10 win over South Carolina on October 11, catching eight passes for 119 yards and a touchdown. He caught six passes for 54 yards and a score in the loss to Texas A&M. Find out which team to support on SportsLine.

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How to make LSU vs. Alabama picks

SportsLine’s model tops the total, projecting a combined 53 points. It also indicates that one side of the gap occurs in more than 60% of simulations. You can only get the pick at SportsLine.

So who does Alabama win against LSU, and which side of the spread reaches more than 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the LSU vs. Alabama spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that has ended up over $2,000 on its FBS college football picks since its inception, and find out.