After 100 days of Trump, an increasing economy started to decrease

The 100 -day marker in a presidential administration always triggers a multitude of sober press assessments, evaluating the list of early achievements of the White House against those of previous administrations and campaign promises made in the heat of the previous electoral season. In the case of Donald Trump’s second term, however, this formula ritual does not make sense; The administration operates so far from the traditional models of political consensus and public surveillance according to which breakthroughs and policies now prevail for itself at the cost of any viable model of constitutional governance. The victories of an anti -democratic nationalist administration, without law and white can only harm all that remains of the American democratic system. Passing the 100 -day threshold is less like a moment for a policies’ rating session than in the appearance of a dark Civic Deathwatch.

It is perhaps for the better that all ceremonial experts at 100 days were instantly obsolete on the 101st day of the new term Trump by the state of the economy. The first quarter of 2025 has witnessed a 0.3%withdrawal, according to a GDP report from the US Commerce Department – the first growth contraction since 2022, when the country was still featured with the covers of the covers. Most economists had planned considerably reduced growth, in a range of 0.4%, which is already a drastic comedy of growth rates of 3.1 and 2.4% in the previous two quarters. But the pace in negative territory signals a potential recession in view – which could court the frightening spectrum of prolonged stagflation, largely thanks to the absurdly designed and irregularly administered prices program.

Inflation is cooked in the radical prices of the White House, the main retailers being ready to pass on the import taxes increased directly to consumers – and the image of shaken investment created by the model of protectionism of Trump roulette clearly presages an outstanding economic slowdown, a drop -down job and stifling demand. While the impact of prices is spread around the world, container ports of the west coast are starting to look like ghost cities, and consumers postpone or cancel major purchases such as houses and cars. (A radical point in car purchases last month was, like other consumption expenditure increases, the result of a jostling of buyers rightly panicked by the contractions that fall under the new pricing regime.) The overall confidence of consumers has denounced this month, while the expectations of rampant unemployment increased – the two reliable indicators of the suspended recession.

Feeling the catastrophe to come, the first author of this chaos ran to blame him on his predecessor. “It is the Biden stock market, not Trump’s,” said the latter on his social account of truth.

The prices will start to launch soon and companies are starting to move to the United States in record numbers. Our country will explode, but we have to get rid of the “overhang” of Biden. It will take some time, has nothing to do with the prices, only that it has left us bad figures, but when the boom starts, it will be like no other. Be patient !!!

Nothing stabilizes the nerves, after all, as an imperative of higher cases punctuated by multiple exclamation points.

Trump’s panicked punch was particularly half half, even in his standards, for the past year, he said that his re -election submission was only responsible for the time of the market, again seeking to hide the ridiculous character in his complaint in investors all the captains that I will win the Trump market. It was not everything either: during a DC rally just before its inauguration, Trump announced that “everyone calls it – I don’t want to say that. It’s too victorious, but we will say it anyway – the Trump effect…. Since the elections, the stock market has increased, and small business optimism is in danger, a record of 41 points towards a 39 -year summit. ” (We all know how much this bullish mood of Wall Street turned out to be – and the same goes for the brief flood of exuberance of small businesses.)

Trump’s Wall Street’s romance from Trump follows the same arch as its bipolar bipolar bipolar in punitive pricing hikes, which after a series of diving on Wall Street, gathered in a “break” similarly to most prices at 10% prices of Mexico). Indeed, the only constant in all these self -imposed economic pains is Trump’s randomness of random mood and the anger crises of social media – and the file already shows that neither is likely to calm the atmosphere of the paper economy or real products and services.

This leaves a calculation that could well make the fainting of this district in the negative growth column looks like a boom in comparison. The upcoming prospects for the American -Chinese trade war – which, by force, the volume of trade involved, would have massive follow -up effects throughout the American economy – are lamentable. The Economist To a ventilation that gives to think the trend line, gracked shipping data:

Reservations for new trips between China and America dropped by 45% in annual shift in the week from April 14, according to Vizion, a data company. The number of virgin navigations, when a ship jumps a port or a carrier manages fewer ships on a route to equalize the service, has increased to 40% of all planned trips. Price data suggest that trade flows are reworked. The cost of sailing between Shanghai and Los Angeles dropped by around $ 1,000 last month, according to Freightos, a logistics company, because companies went from the “front race” the prices – in importation more than usual to beat the deadline for implementation – to avoid them. The price to transport Vietnam goods to America increased by a similar amount, suggesting that importers were looking for alternative suppliers.

Trump also rejects the spectrum of a prolonged collapse induced by China’s prices, saying without foundation to have initiated a series of agreements to stop the trade war. China’s own economic problems have the edge of the recession, says the president, which makes them most likely to comply with the American lever – a classic demonstration of the always phonic prowess of Trump.

So let’s ride the band: in its first quarter report, the Chinese economy increased by 5.4%, overshadowing the projection of 5.1% owned by most economists. This rate corresponded to the growth figures for the fourth quarter of last year – although the forecasters provide for a future slowdown thanks to the American trade war. However, China, unlike the United States, plans to stimulate domestic demand in the face of future contractions, in order to create an alternative free trade area in Asia with Japan and South Korea, and to tighten its business links with the European Union.

However, do not be afraid: we can count on the head of the American economic order to all withdraw from this descending spiral. All you need is another post -social post social post -proof that blames everything about Joe Biden.