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A new study questions theories of origin

This illustration of early earth includes liquid water as well as the infiltration of the magma of the heart of the planet due to a large impact. NASA scientists study chemistry that could have existed at the moment in the history of the planet. Credit: Simone Marchi

The study reveals that the origin of life is faced with serious mathematical challenges. Chance alone may not be enough.

A new study addresses one of the most sustainable questions of science: how does life come from non-living matter on the land of the beginning? Using advanced mathematical methods, Robert G. Imperial College London has developed a framework indicating that the spontaneous emergence of life may have been much more difficult than we thought before.

Research highlights the immense challenge to generate structured biological information in realistic prebiotic conditions, stressing how improbable it would have been that the first living cell will appear naturally. Think about it as trying to write an article on the origins of life for a renowned scientific website by randomly launching letters on a page. The chances of success become astronomically small as the required complexity increases.

Hydrothermal vent releasing hot water rich in minerals
Proofs of some of the oldest forms of life on earth can be found in the precipitates of the hydrothermal vent. Credit: Noaa

By applying the theory of information and algorithmic complexity, Endres analyzed what would be necessary for the first living cells, known as the Protocell, to self-assemble from simple chemical components. This mathematical perspective demonstrates how improbable such a process would be if it would be left to chance in natural conditions.

Obstacles to the emergence of life

The results indicate that chance alone, combined with natural chemical reactions, may not sufficiently explain the origin of life within the limited period of the beginning of the earth. Since the systems generally move to disorders rather than in order, the formation of highly structured arrangements required for life is confronted with serious barriers.

Illustration of Panspermia with the comet with bacteria
Panspermia proposes that organisms such as bacteria, with their DNA, can be transported by means such as comets through space towards planets, including land. Panspermia directed even suggests that it can happen in the hands of extraterrestrials! Credit: Silver Spoon Sokpop

This does not imply that the emergence of life was impossible, but it suggests that current knowledge can be lacking. Research stresses that the identification of the physical principles of the rise of the life of non -alive matter remains one of the greatest challenges of organic physics.

Considering alternative ideas

While maintaining a scientific rigor, the article recognizes that the partner -managed panspermia, initially proposed by Francis Crick and Leslie Orgel, remains a speculative but logically open alternative. This hypothesis suggests that life could have been intentionally sown on earth by advanced extraterrestrial civilizations, although the author notes this idea calls into question the razor of Occam, the scientific principle promoting simpler explanations.

This research does not refute the possibility of life emerging naturally on earth. Instead, it quantifies the mathematical challenges involved and suggests that we may need to discover new physical principles or mechanisms that could overcome these information barriers. The work represents an important step towards the more rigorous meeting of the study of the origins of life.

The study also reminds us that some of the greatest mysteries in the universe still expect solutions, and that the combination of mathematical precision with biological questions can reveal new depths to secular puzzles on our existence.

Reference: “The unreasonable probability of being: Origin of life, Terraformation and AI” by Robert G. Endres, July 24, 2025, Arxiv.
DOI: 10.48550 / Arxiv. 2007.18545

Adapted from an article originally published on Universe today.

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