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Etsy (NASDAQ:ETSY) surprises with third quarter sales but inventory declines

Online marketplace Etsy (NASDAQ:ETSY) reported better-than-expected third-quarter 2025 revenue, with sales up 2.4% year-over-year to $678 million. Its GAAP earnings of $0.63 per share were 21.1% higher than analysts’ consensus estimates.

Is now the time to shop Etsy? Find out in our full research report.

  • Income: $678 million versus $656.6 million estimated by analysts (growth of 2.4% year-on-year, exceeded by 3.3%)

  • EPS (GAAP): $0.63 versus analyst estimates of $0.52 (21.1% beat)

  • Adjusted EBITDA: $171.9 million versus $164.7 million estimated by analysts (25.4% margin, 4.4% overrun)

  • Forecast Q4 EBITDA margin of 24%, well below expectations of 27%

  • Operating margin: 12.2%, in line with the same quarter last year

  • Free cash flow margin: 27.1%, compared to 13.4% in the previous quarter

  • Active buyers: 93.16 million, down 3.55 million year-on-year

  • Market capitalization: $7.41 billion

Founded by struggling amateur furniture maker Robert Kalin and his two friends, Etsy (NASDAQ: ETSY) is one of the world’s largest online marketplaces focused on handmade or vintage items.

A company’s long-term business performance can indicate its overall quality. Any business can experience short-term success, but the most successful ones experience sustained growth for years. Over the past three years, Etsy has grown its sales at a compound annual growth rate of 4.9%. This figure is below our standard for the consumer internet sector and is a rough starting point for our analysis.

Etsy quarterly revenue

This quarter, Etsy reported modest year-over-year revenue growth of 2.4%, but beat Wall Street estimates of 3.3%.

Looking ahead, sell-side analysts expect revenue to remain flat over the next 12 months, a deceleration from the past three years. This projection is disappointing and implies that its products and services will face some demand challenges.

Today’s young investors probably haven’t read the timeless lessons of Gorilla Game: Picking Winners In High Technology because it was written more than 20 years ago, when Microsoft and Apple were first establishing their supremacy. But if we apply the same principles, then enterprise software titles leveraging their own generative AI capabilities might just be the gorillas of the future. So with that in mind, we’re excited to present our free special report on a profitable, fast-growing enterprise software stock already riding the automation wave and looking to catch generative AI.

As an online marketplace, Etsy generates revenue growth by increasing both the number of users on its platform and the average order dollar amount.

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