ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati 1/16-Finals
Michelsen – Rune: 11.08.2025 17:00 CEST
H2H: First meeting
Alex Michelsen has won four of his last five games. Last week in Toronto, Michelsen lost to Khachanv in the quarterfinals in two sets. Last season in Cincinnati, the American played well. He finally lost against the sinner in the third round in straight sets. This week, Michelsen beat Moutet in the first round in three tight sets.
Holger Rune has won three of his last five games. Last week in Toronto, Popyrin upset him in 1/8-final in three tight sets. Last season, Rune had a decent race in Cincinnati. He finally lost against Tiafoe in the semi-finals in three sets. This week, the Dane beat Safiullin in two sets.
Best bet to do
According to bookmakers, Rune is the light is the favorite of this match, and we agree. He is hungry for success and likes to play in the United States. The Danish was super under pressure in the opening lap.
That being said, Rune Winning is a value bet.
Bet / The Best Odds value: Holger Rune Winning @ 1.57 @ Bet365
Rinderknech – Auger -Aliassime: 11.08.2025 17:00 CEST
H2H: 0-1
Arthur Rinderknech has won three of his last five games. This week in Cincinnati, Rinderknech beat Borges in the first round in two sets. He was super under pressure, saving the two stopping points he offered. In the second round, the Frenchman upset Ruud in three sets, after losing the opening set 6-7.
Felix Auger-Aliassime has won three of his last five games. Last week in Toronto, the Canadian lost against Marozsan in the first round in two sets. This week, he beat engraving in the straight sets comfortably in the first round.
Best bet to do
According to bookmakers, Rinderknech is the oppressed in this match, but we do not agree. He dominated Ruud in the second and third sets. On the other hand, Auger-Aliassime has struggled with its form in recent weeks. We expect Rinderknech to keep this close match.
That being said, Rinderknech covering the game handicap is a value bet.
Bet / The Best Odds value: Arthur Rinderknech +2.5 Handicap games @ 1.91 @ bet365
Tiafoe – Humbert: 11.08.2025 18:30
H2H: 2-1
Frances Tiafoe has won three of its last five games. Last week in Toronto, the American lost against Du Minaur in 1/8-final in three tight sets. This week in Cincinnati, Tiafoe beat Carballes Baena in two sets.
Ugo Humbert has won three of his last five games. His last match before the ATP Cincinnati was in Wimbledon, where he lost against Monfils in the first round in five tight sets. This week, the Frenchman had a favorable opening draw. Humbert defeated Wong in two sets. He offered and saved a single stop point.
Best bet to do
According to bookmakers, Humbert is the oppressed in this match, but we do not agree. The two players play at a similar level. We expect a tight match that could go in both directions and possibly equality breaks.
That being said, On games is a value bet.
Bet value / The best dimensions: more than 23.5 games @ 1,83 @ bet365
Main photo credit: Images by Susan Mullane-Imagn
